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Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays Results
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for May 21, 2025 )
Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins
Bet: Minnesota Twins ML/-115 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
The Guardians just can’t get out of their own way as they’ve lost six of their last eight games. Even with Williams improving lately, he still has a 4.29 ERA and 1.64 WHIP on the season. In 18.2 road innings, Williams has a 5.30 ERA and a .270 allowed batting average. The Twins have lost once since May 3 and have a pitching staff that’s absolutely dealing. Paddack has been hit or miss at times this season, but he’s allowed 11 hits and four runs in his last 19.1 innings. At home in 21.1 innings, Paddack has a 2.95 ERA and .218 allowed batting average. We are not stepping in front of the Twins. Give us the home team and the soft price.
NBA Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 20, 2025 )
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Bet: Minnesota Timberwolves +7.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
This one is going to be a knock down, drag out brawl between a pair of teams that have been stingy on the defensive end of the floor in the postseason. The Timberwolves are second in the league in postseason defense, behind only Boston in scoring defense in the playoffs while Oklahoma City is fourth. It’s going to be interesting to see how the stars perform in this series. Gilgeous-Alexander is shooting 47.8% from the floor and 29.3% from beyond the arc in the postseason. Edwards is shooting 44.5% from the field while DiVincenzo is hitting only 33.3% in the playoffs. Three of the four meetings this season were decided by eight points or less: this is another close one so take the points and Minnesota here.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for May 19, 2025 )
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox
Bet: Seattle Mariners -1.5 RL/-110 ( sportsbook: BetMGM ) Winner
The Seattle Mariners travel to Chicago to take on the White Sox on Monday night. Seattle is 26-19 SU overall this year while the Chicago White Sox come in with a 14-33 SU overall record on the season. Seattle is 13-8 on the road this year including winning 5 in a row. The White Sox are 3-17 against American League opponents this season. Seattle is 6-1 SU last 7 games overall in this series and 6-1 SU last 7 games when playing at the Chicago White Sox. We'll play Seattle on the Run Line tonight!
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies
Bet: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 RL/-150 ( sportsbook: BetRivers ) Winner
The Phillies should have a major advantage in Monday night's matchup, particularly on the mound. On the road, Sanchez is 2-1 this season with an ERA of 1.88. The Phillies have also won three of his last five starts. On the other side of the field, Freeland is a miserable 0-3 with a 9.77 ERA at home this season. The Rockies have lost four of Freeland's last five starts this season. The Phillies are already 3-0 against the Rockies this season heading into this series and should thrive in the higher altitude with power hitters like Schwarber, Harper, and Castellanos. The run line will be good to you on Monday night, so take the Phillies on the run line.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
Bet: Over 9.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
The Athletics won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including three of the last four. Six of the last ten H2Hs went Over, which was also the case in six of the Angels' previous ten games. The Athletics' recent games were usually high-scoring, as eight of their last ten went Over. We are backing Over in this one not only because of the starters, but because of the fact that these two teams have some of the weakest bullpens in the MLB. Los Angeles' bullpen allows a league-high 7.06 ERA, while the A's allow a 5.82 ERA (28th). Jose Soriano allowed a .296 BA in 27 at-bats against the Athletics. Go with Over.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for May 19, 2025 )
Kansas City Royals vs. San Francisco Giants
Bet: San Francisco Giants ML/-120 ( sportsbook: BetRivers ) Loser
In the opener of this interleague series there is a great pitching matchup, as Bubic ranks fifth in the Majors in EAR and Ray is tied for the lead with six wins. The Giants are the otter team, as they have won three in a row and four of their last five games while the Royals had lost four in a row before a win in their last game. Each starter will pitch well in this game and Bubic has only given up one run in his last three starts and Ray has given up a total of four runs in his last three outings. Regarding the Kansas City Royals vs. San Francisco Giants prediction the Giants have the better lineup, rank first in bullpen ERA, and have been solid at home and they will win the opener of this interleague series. Take the Giants at -120.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Bet: Milwaukee Brewers ML/-110 ( sportsbook: BetRivers ) Winner
Baltimore limps into this series trying to snap a six-game losing streak, but they are just 7-15 on the road, and they have been very disappointing this year. The Orioles just allowed 24 runs to Washington in three games, and they will start Kremer, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last five starts. Milwaukee has also struggled recently, but they did win on Sunday, and they are 13-9 at home. The Brewers are going with Priester, who has been pretty solid this year, but did have two horrible starts against the Cubs and Cardinals a few weeks ago. We don’t love either pitcher, but we will definitely fade the Orioles until they show me some signs of life. Take Milwaukee here.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for May 18, 2025 )
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Bet: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 RL/-120 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
In this game, we will see the Los Angeles Angels take on the Los Angeles Dodgers for the third game of the series. The Angels have won the first two games and we lost both non-guaranteed picks betting against them. In those games, we saw both teams hit the ball very well and many pitchers for both teams’ struggle. For today, the starters will be Yusei Kikuchi of the Angels and Tony Gonsolin of the Dodgers. Kikuchi has been hit or miss this year. In recent starts, he has pitched well giving up 5 runs in 17 innings. On the other side, Gonsolin gave up a few runs in his first couple starts but turned it on in his most recent start. He pitched 5 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks giving up 3 hits and 0 runs. On the hitting side, the Dodgers currently have the best batting average in the MLB on the year (.274). They also lead the league with 268 runs and 431 hits. This is much different than the Angels as they rank 28th in batting average (.219) and have accumulated 175 runs and 318 hits. Additionally, the Dodgers are batting a .359 and have scored 48 runs over the past 6 games. The Dodgers have dominated lefties this season, hitting .271 against them. They are also hitting nearly .300 at home this season. These numbers highlight that the Dodgers have the edge in hitting, even if that has not been present through the first two games. Finally, the Angels bullpen has a 7.04 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP, both ranking last in the MLB. Overall, Gonsolin has potential to build on his most recent start, the Dodgers batting shouldn’t struggle against Kikuchi, and the Dodgers bullpen gives them the advantage late in the game. We are taking the Dodgers on the run line as we believe the Angels luck has run out in this series.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for May 17, 2025 )
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles
Bet: Washington Nationals ML/+135 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
In this game, we will see the Washington Nationals go up against the Baltimore Orioles. In the previous game, the Nationals won 4-3 but were outhit by the Orioles 14-5. Somehow, Mackenzie Gore managed to give up 10 hits in 3.2 innings and only let in 2 runs. For today, the starters will be Jake Irvin of the Nationals and Kyle Gibson of the Orioles. Irvin has pitched well on the year and the Nationals are 4-2 through his last 6 starts. On the other side, Gibson has struggled to start the year. He has pitched 11.2 innings giving up 17 runs on 23 hits. The Orioles have lost all 3 of his starts by more than one run. Given these starters, we can suspect that Gibson will continue to struggle and the Nationals will be able to create some scoring situations. On the year, the Nationals have the better batting average and have accrued more hits and runs than the Orioles. The concern for the Nationals is that they have one of the worst bullpens in baseball. Though, this has not been the case against the Orioles. The Nationals bullpen has pitched very well against the Orioles leading to the Nationals having a 3-1 record so far in this series. Additionally, the Orioles hold a record of 9-16 when they are favored this year. Given the poor play of Gibson, the steady form of Irvin, and the improved bullpen play of the Nationals, we are riding with the Nationals to win this one.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins
Bet: Over 8/+100 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
Game 1 of this series went Over and that is the pick for today`s game. Not too hard to see why with Alcantara on the hill with an ERA over 8.00 and a Miami bullpen that ranks 25th in bullpen ERA. The Rays will have a good game at the dish in this game putting up a high total. The Marlins will also get some runs but not a ton facing Rasmussen, who has given up three runs in each of his last three starts, and a pretty good Rays’ bullpen. Game 2 will be far from a pitcher’s duel and in a higher-scoring game the Over is the way to go. Take the Over 8 runs.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins
Bet: Tampa Bay Rays ML/-143 ( sportsbook: BetRivers ) Winner
The Marlins are well under .500 but have won their last two games and beat the Rays in the opener of this interleague series. Alcantara has an ERA north of 8.00 and the Marlins have lost his last five starts where he gave up at least four runs in four of them. While not a daunting lineup the Rays will get to him as well as a Miami bullpen that only ranks 25th in bullpen ERA. Tampa has lost Rasmussen’s last three starts where he gave up three runs in each of them. He will give up around that many in this game but the lineup will help him out as will the bullpen, which has been solid this season ranking 10th in bullpen ERA. The Rays will take Game 2 of this series snapping the Marlins modest two-game win streak. Take the Rays at -143.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Bet: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 RL/-113 ( sportsbook: BetRivers ) Loser
Clayton Kershaw is expected to make his season debut on Saturday night. The 37-year-old southpaw hasn’t pitched in the majors since August 30, 2024. The three-time Cy Young Award winner finished his rehab from offseason surgeries on his left toe and left knee, throwing 21 innings in the minors this season. Kershaw is 10-2 with a 1.99 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 16 career starts against the Angels. He hasn’t allowed a single run over his last three dates with the Halos (20 IP). The current Angels are just 7-for-58 with two doubles and a triple versus Kershaw. The Dodgers lean on their mighty lineup despite missing Tommy Edman (ankle) and Teoscar Hernandez (adductor). They are first in the majors in runs scored (5.84 per game) and 15th in runs allowed (4.23). Over the last 10 days, the Dodgers have recorded a 226 wRC+ against the left-handed pitchers and a 141 wRC+ versus the righties. Tyler Anderson is having a good season, but he’ll have a tall task to keep the Dodgers quiet. As we mentioned above, the Dodgers have been destroying the southpaws lately, so we cannot trust Anderson in this game. The Dodgers have a strong record against Anderson. Keep your eyes on Shohei Ohtani, who slugged two home runs in that 19-2 win over the Athletics. Ohtani is 4-for-7 with three triples and a home run against Anderson. We also mentioned how bad the Angels bullpen has been so far this season. The Dodgers ‘pen has been shaky (4.28 ERA in the last 10 days and 33.2 IP), but it still looks much better than the Angels ‘pen. The Dodgers are the better team so go with the Los Angeles Dodgers to win as the better bet.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for May 16, 2025 )
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins
Bet: Tampa Bay Rays ML/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
Tampa Bay has dominated the matchup against its intra-state rival in recent years, going 3-1 against Miami in 2024 - including a sweep of the series in LoanDepot Park - and a lopsided 15-3 looking back to games since 2021. The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road, but that will not matter here as they are taking on Max Meyer who has been giving up runs left and right recently. The typically steady Meyer has been shaky recently, he has given up five earned runs in each of his last three starts, and he has not been going against the top offenses in the Major League. He gave up five runs to the White Sox, Athletics, and Mariners, and has not had his best stuff lately which will shake his confidence as he goes to host this Tampa Bay team. The Marlins grabbed a win in their last game in Chicago, but needed two home runs from Stowers to do so, he will not bail them out again. Bradley is a solid starter for the Rays, and he has only given up five or more earned runs in one of his eight starts this season. The Marlins' offense is not strong enough to power their way to a win here, so the Rays grab a win in the first night of the series. Take the Rays to win.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Bet: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 RL/-132 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
The Dodgers have the most dangerous batting lineup in the league. Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman are the best 1-2-3 batting lineup combination in the MLB. Jack Kochanowicz is expected to take the mound for the Angels. On the season, he has a record of 2-5 in eight starts with a 5.23 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 24/18 K/BB ratio, and opponents are hitting .284 against Kochanowicz. The Dodgers will feast on Kochanowicz and hit him well. The Dodgers won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including two of the last three. The Dodgers managed to cover a -1.5 run line in each of those eight victories over the Angels, and we are backing them to win and cover once again. Kochanowicz allowed multiple runs in all but one start this season, and although May also surrendered multiple runs in each of his previous three starts, he is undoubtedly a better pitcher here. Not to mention that the Dodgers have the best offense in the MLB. Playing at home against a weak starting pitcher, the Dodgers should win this contest by two or more runs.
NBA Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 15, 2025 )
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets
Bet: Denver Nuggets +5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
While the Thunder may be 3-2 SU in the series, the Nuggets have gone 4-1 ATS. Denver has done an excellent job to stay close, especially over the last two games. More than any team this season, they’ve been able to find a formula to quell the Oklahoma City offense and that’s been massive in allowing them to make a series of things. We do not see them going down without a fight, especially on their home court, where their defense has held the Thunder to an average of 98 points per game this series. In Game 5, the Nuggets got the upper hand on the boards for the first time this series and they’ve also been strong in forcing turnovers out of OKC. What they lack in bodies, they make up for by having arguably the best player in basketball. The Thunder limited Jokic in games three and four, but he exploded for 44 points in game five. The Nuggets would have won game 5 if anybody was willing to help Jokic in the fourth quarter. The good news is Jokic has found his form after struggling the first few games. Also, the Nuggets are 10-4 SU in their last 14 home games as an underdog, a stretch that goes back to April 2022. The Nuggets have also covered their last four home playoff games as an underdog, which includes three covers this postseason. We kind of expect this series to go the distance, but we will take the points with the Nuggets for insurance.
NBA Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 14, 2025 )
New York Knicks vs. Boston Celtics
Bet: Boston Celtics -4.5/-108 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Maybe we are crazy, but we are going to ride with the Celtics to win game five and cover the spread in front of their home crowd and we were right about each game in this series so far. The popular narrative will be to fade the Celtics after the Tatum injury, but we will go the other way, and Vegas is thinking the same thing. This spread opened at Celtics -3.5, then jumped up to -4.5. The Celtics are not the type of team to roll over and accept defeat, they are loaded with veterans who have all played in big games before and will not back down without Tatum. New York could get comfortable here, and think they have the series locked up, which is another sign that favors the Celtics. Boston is still loaded, their depth has been their strength all season, they still have shooters and last season's Finals MVP. Boston has led every game this series by at least 14 points, they know Tatum can't save them this time, and will protect whatever lead they get. Boston is 10th in effective field goal rate at home (56.0%) this season, and we believe that they have plenty of firepower to stretch out a multi-possession lead. They’re also a top-five defensive team in the NBA, and they’ll really need to ramp that up in game five. Factor in that the crowd will have an impact, and we think it’s worth taking this buy-low spot on the C’s. Take the Celtics to win and cover.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 14, 2025 )
Colorado Rockies vs. Texas Rangers
Bet: Texas Rangers -1.5 RL/-120 ( sportsbook: BetMGM ) Winner
The Rangers have won four in a row and go for a sweep in Game 3 of this series against the Rockies, who have a grand total of two road wins. Colorado has had major issues at the dish and on the mound and, while they have only given up a total of six runs in this series, they have only scored two runs. Senzatela was lit up for eight runs in his last start and gave up four runs in each of his previous two starts. He will give up a few runs in this game and then hand the ball to the bullpen, which ranks 19th in bullpen ERA. Corbin has been solid in his last five starts but has only received a total of three runs of support in the last three. He will not get much support in this game but will not need much, as he will have another good outing facing a weak Rockies lineup. Regarding the Colorado Rockies vs. Texas Rangers prediction the Rangers will get it done at home again with another solid pitching performance and complete the series sweep. They will also win by at least two runs, so take the run line to get better odds.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 13, 2025 )
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
Bet: San Francisco Giants ML/-102 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Backing the Giants with Robbie Ray on the mound has been profitable all season, and we will continue to follow that trend until it is proven wrong. The Giants have won all eight games Ray has started this season, and won by two or more runs in seven of those eight games. He has pitched six or more innings in each of his last three games, so he is having a strong impact every night out on the mound. Ray has a strong ERA at 2.84, and has impressive wins over the Cubs, Phillies and Yankees. The Diamondbacks are starting Pfaadt, and he recently gave up six earned runs in a loss to the Phillies. The Giants are on a four-game losing skid for the first time this season, and we don’t think they will suffer the fifth loss in a row. We are backing the Giants to win because of Robbie Ray, who has been rock-solid this year. Ray didn’t allow more than two runs in his last four starts, while he surrendered only one in his previous two starts. Brandon Pfaadt, on the other hand, has some strong numbers, but he allowed a .321 BA in 28 at-bats against the Giants. The Giants just got swept in Minnesota and lost last night vs Arizona, so they will be hungry to get a strong bounce back win here. Take the Giants to win.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 12, 2025 )
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
Bet: San Francisco Giants ML/-105 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
Arizona trounced Justin Verlander in 2024. On the other side, Merrill Kelly has struggled at Oracle Park for most of his career, but he pitched seven innings of a two-run ball in a no-decision in San Francisco last season. Kelly had one bad outing in April when he gave up nine earned runs at Yankee Stadium in New York. For the rest of the way, he’s done a good job. Verlander has struggled through his first four starts this season, but over his previous four showings, Verlander has registered a strong 2.70 ERA. We expect a tight battle in this game and will take the Giants because of their bullpen. San Francisco’s relief pitching has been outstanding so far this season, and the Giants bullpen boasts a 2.45 ERA and a .191 batting average against in May. The Diamondbacks ‘pen has been shaky thus far and holds a 6.03 ERA and a .269 batting average against in May. This is the first meeting of the season between the teams and we will side with the Giants to snap their losing skid back at home where they have gone 12-5 for the season.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for May 12, 2025 )
Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros
Bet: Kansas City Royals ML/+100 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Kansas City Royals have won 16 of their last 20 games but enter today’s matchup against the Houston Astros having dropped 2 straight against Boston. A new series means a new opportunity to get back to winning ways as the Astros appear to be rolling with a bullpen day, sending Ryan Gusto (2.93 ERA, 1.27 WHIP) to the mound to start. Gusto has decent numbers, but the righty falls in the 10th percentile or worse in average exit velocity and hard-hit %, meaning teams crush his stuff when making contact. Gusto is typically a bullpen arm and has only thrown more than 5.0 innings once this season, and sees drastic decline throughout the game — Gusto allows a .246 BA the first time through the lineup compared to a .375 the third time through. Going deeper into games hasn’t been as much of an issue for KC starter Michael Wacha (2.98 ERA, 1.15 WHIP), who falls in the 97th percentile for pitching run value. He’s recorded 3 straight quality starts, including 2 zero-ER performances, and one of those shutout performances came against this same Astros squad just 2 weeks ago. Both squads have top-end bullpens available in relief, but we are backing Wacha and the rolling Royals to get back on track with another win.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cleveland Guardians
Bet: Cleveland Guardians ML/+107 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Brewers swept the three games these two played against each other in Milwaukee last season. Following up on things a year later and Milwaukee comes limping into this series a bit, in terms of performance, with losses adding up. Cleveland, on the other hand, has begun a surge towards the top of the A.L. Central standings behind a hot offense. The Guardians are 6-2 in games that Lively has started, and the right-hander has had a pair of scoreless efforts on the home front this season. His counterpart, Peralta, has not been as strong on the road as at home this season. He’s struggled with control a bit, yielding 13 walks and allowing five home runs over 26.1 innings. Cleveland’s offense has been rolling of late, and they like to go on the attack early, which should benefit them in the series opener. Cleveland is 12-6 at home this season while Milwaukee has gone 7-14 on the road. Take the Guardians.
NBA Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 11, 2025 )
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets
Bet: Denver Nuggets +6.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The team with the best overall record this season finds itself in a difficult situation, down 2-1 with a road game at Ball Arena on Sunday afternoon. In many ways this is a must-win game for OKC, they’ve actually done a solid job on the 3-time MVP Jokic in this series and yet they find themselves trailing after 3 games. SGA has failed to live up to his reputation, Game 3 saw him go for just 18 points on 7-for-22 shooting. There is one positive to take away from that game despite the loss though and that’s the Thunder’s effort in the rebounding department. They recorded 5 more boards than the Nuggets, with 18 of them coming on the offensive end. Will they be able to convert that in a win on Sunday? Denver is now 4-2 ATS/SU in 6 meetings, but despite that they find themselves in an underdog situation for the 4th time in this series. Joker and co. won’t really care too much about that, given how this series has gone so far. It’s quite evident that OKC has more depth, but so far the experience of Denver has proven to give them the edge. We are willing to bet Jokic won’t go 8-for-25 from the field and 0-for-10 from three in back-to-back games, it’s been a while since we had a dominant performance from the Joker, perhaps that’s a sign of things to come on Sunday? Denver has only 1 loss in 6 home games, plus they’ve covered the spread in 5 of 7 overall. All the pressure is on OKC to respond here, going down 3-1 would put them in a really difficult situation. Denver has played well enough to make us feel comfortable backing them on a game-to-game basis in this series. With an improved Jokic game there’s no way they are losing by more than 6 points here. Back the home team to cover.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 10, 2025 )
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Bet: Milwaukee Brewers ML/+110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
Tampa Bay has been trending in the wrong direction of late and playing at a spring training site isn’t going to help matters for them. Kevin Cash has to find a way to get his team back on track because Thursday’s meltdown was another blow for an already reeling squad. Milwaukee has been solid enough and if they can get their rotation fully healthy, that would be a major boost for them as the season wears on. The Brewers have a more consistent lineup right now and they are the better team. Look for Myers to keep Milwaukee in it and the Rays’ bullpen to fold late to give the visitors the win.
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
Bet: Boston Red Sox ML/+100 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
With Garrett Crochet taking the mound, the Red Sox have a legitimate edge in Saturday’s contest. Crochet has been electric in his first full season as a starter, boasting a 2.02 ERA and 56 strikeouts across 49 innings. He’s allowed just one earned run in his last three starts and has shown the poise of a veteran, even staying in the game after taking a comebacker to the face. His dominant fastball-slider combination has overwhelmed hitters, and against a Kansas City lineup that relies heavily on just a couple of bats—namely Bobby Witt Jr. and Maikel Garcia—Crochet’s stuff should play well, especially in the pitcher-friendly environment of Kauffman Stadium. While Kansas City is riding a hot streak, winning seven straight and allowing just 17 runs over their last 11 games, they haven’t faced a left-hander as effective as Crochet during that span. Cole Ragans has been solid for the Royals, but his 3.79 ERA comes with some recent volatility, and Boston’s right-handed hitters like Bregman and Abreu match up well against him. The Red Sox have also been strong in early innings, where Ragans has occasionally struggled. If Boston can jump out early, Crochet and the bullpen—backed by Whitlock and Slaten—should be able to shut the door. Laying the +100 odds with the more complete team and superior starter offers strong value in this spot.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cleveland Guardians
Bet: Over 7.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Last season, the under hit in all three meetings between the two teams. This time around, things are a bit different as both offenses are firing on all cylinders leading up to this series, and neither side has had much in the way of lock down pitching. Suarez is making just his second start since returning from back stiffness and he still looked a bit stiff his first time out. Bibee has been able to earn a couple of wins, despite his 4.26 ERA, due to the run support he has received. The Guardians’ offense has provided their last five starters with at least five runs and had scored four or more in seven of their last eight games. The Phillies scored seven runs or more in five games straight and in eight of their last nine games. Take the over.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Bet: Arizona Diamondbacks ML/-105 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Dodgers are in Arizona to take on the Diamondbacks in the third game of a 4-game series on Saturday night. The pitching matchup in this one will pit Los Angeles’ Dustin May against Arizona’s Corbin Burnes. May has seen up-and-down results so far in 2025. After allowing just 2 earned runs over his first 3 starts, he has allowed 14 earned runs over his last 3 starts. He has especially struggled away from Dodger Stadium, as his ERA jumps from 2.20 in the comfort of his home ballpark to 6.48 on the road. Arizona possesses a dangerous offense that could be in a position to do some damage against May. In his first year in Arizona, Burnes will be making his seventh start in a Diamondback uniform. His numbers aren’t other-worldly so far this season, but he’s consistently putting his team in a position to win. The veteran right-hander has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 4 of his 6 starts, and he is holding his opponents to a measly .178 batting average at home. He’s allowed just 2 earned runs over his last 2 outings, so he might be finding a groove entering this start. All in all, Burnes has been more consistent than May, so consider a small wager backing Burnes and the D-Backs in this matchup.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 9, 2025 )
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals
Bet: St. Louis Cardinals ML/-105 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
After getting off to a good start in his first five starts, Mitchell Parker has struggled mightily in his last two starts. He has allowed five or more earned runs in each of his previous two starts. Parker has walked nine batters over his last two outings. St. Louis is a patient team. They are near the top 10 in the league in walks. The Cardinals have been good against Southpaws this season, ranking in the top 10 in batting average and OBP. With Parker struggling, the Cardinals will score runs on him and win this contest. Take St. Louis on the money line.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for May 8, 2025 )
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels
Bet: Toronto Blue Jays ML/-125 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Blue Jays are having a dreadful week with four straight losses, but we still think it’s fair to say they’re better than what they’ve shown up to this point. The Toronto Blue Jays should be hungry to avoid the sweep after blowing a 4-2 lead in the 9th in Game 2 yesterday. We expect the Blue Jays to turn things around soon. Bassitt could be what the doctor ordered, as he’s allowed 40 hits and 13 runs in 39.2 innings, and he has 43 strikeouts. The Blue Jays have seen three of their 16 wins come with Bassitt on the mound, and it would be more, but they’ve scored three or fewer runs in all four of the losses. We like Chris Bassitt over Jose Soriano. Bassitt is 2-2 with a 2.95 ERA in 7 starts this year with 43 strikeouts in 39 2/3 innings. Bassitt is 7-3 with a 3.76 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts against the Angels. Jose Soriano is 2-4 with a 3.83 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 7 starts this year with 31 strikeouts in 40 innings. Soriano has yielded 11 ER and 37 base runners in 20 innings in his last 4 starts. The Angels are a team we`ve faded a lot over the years, and a couple of wins don’t move the needle much for us. We know who the Angels are and they remain one of the more inconsistent teams at the plate this season and they are still sitting 29th in overall batting average. We also shouldn't expect the Angels to bail themselves out late in the game again, with a six-run or three-run inning. The Blue Jays sit 3rd in strikeout rate this season and their pitching staff sits 4th in strikeouts thrown. Los Angeles sits near the bottom of the league in strikeouts per game and we should expect the Blue Jays to take advantage here. Take Toronto.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Bet: Philadelphia Phillies ML/-148 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida will host the final matchup of the Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bay Rays three-game series on Thursday, May 8, 2025. After winning the first two games with scores of 8–4 and 7–0 the Phillies now look to sweep the series. The Philadelphia Phillies will deploy left-handed pitcher Jesús Luzardo to take the mound. This season Luzardo has demonstrated strong performance with a 3–0 record, a 1.94 ERA and 47 strikeouts across 41.2 innings pitched. Throughout seven appearances this season he has thrown four quality starts without ever surrendering more than three earned runs in any single game. The Tampa Bay team will have right-hander Ryan Pepiot take the mound during the game while he maintains a 2–4 record with a 4.23 ERA. At George M. Steinbrenner Field Ryan Pepiot has maintained a poor performance with a 1–3 record and a 4.82 ERA. Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies offensively with 12 home runs and 28 RBIs while Trea Turner maintains a .307 batting average. The Rays' offense produces an average of 3.85 runs per game which places them 22nd in MLB. We like the way Luzardo has pitched this season and this one looks like a Philly sweep.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 7, 2025 )
Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins
Bet: Minnesota Twins ML/-140 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Baltimore Orioles were pounded 9-1 in the series opener at Target Field on Tuesday, dropping their third consecutive game. The O’s are a dismal eight games under .500, and a main reason for the struggles has been their inability to win on the road. Baltimore is just 5-12 away from Charm City, and it has dropped four in a row, and the Orioles are 1-8 in the past nine games away from home. RHP Charlie Morton was briefly moved to the bullpen since April 20, but the struggling veteran returns to a starting role. He has a dismal 0-6 record, 9.76 ERA and 2.20 WHIP this season. The Minnesota Twins have won three straight games, and the nine runs scored in Tuesday’s opener was the most at home since April 25 when they played 11 runs against the Los Angeles Angels. The Halos have scored four in a row at home, and eight of the past nine games. These are two teams going in completely different directions. Bank on the Twins at home, and keep fading the struggling veteran Morton until he shows signs of turning things around.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 6, 2025 )
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Bet: Philadelphia Phillies ML/-117 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Following a 4-2 home-stand against the Nationals and the Diamondbacks, the Philadelphia Phillies hit the road to begin a 3-game set against the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday night. The Rays took 2 out of 3 games from the Yankees on the road over the weekend and will be home for their next 2 series against the Phillies and Brewers. Tuesday night presents an intriguing pitchers’ duel between Zach Wheeler and Drew Rasmussen, both of whom remain 2 of the most consistent starting pitchers in Major League Baseball. Wheeler enters this start with a 3.48 ERA, 3 consecutive quality starts and a career-best 32.8% strikeout rate. Rasmussen has been equally as impressive, owning a 2.64 ERA while going at least 5.0 innings in each of his 6 starts. Ultimately this game will likely come down to each ballclub’s bullpen and its offensive production, and I give a slight edge to Philadelphia. While the Phillies’ bullpen has struggled early in the season with a 4.71 ERA, their relievers have been much better of late and own a 2.91 ERA over the last 2 weeks. The Rays’ bullpen has been rock solid so far with a 2.97 ERA on the year, but Philadelphia’s lineup is a level up from what Tampa Bay has constructed. The Phillies plated 19 runs in their 3-game series with the D-Backs and 16 runs in their 3-game set with the Nationals, whereas the Rays scored a combined 13 runs across 6 games against the Royals and Yankees — 7 of which came against New York on Sunday. We will back the more consistent lineup in a relatively even pitching matchup.
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox
Bet: Texas Rangers ML/-117 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
We’ve got a couple of reeling teams sitting near the .500 mark on the season as they kick this series off with this one. Giolito made his first start of the year last week and is hoping to get into form for Boston, which needs some healthy arms with Walker Buehler on the IL, Brayan Bello having missed time and Tanner Houck sputtering in the first six weeks of the year. While Texas has struggled, Eovaldi has been tremendous so far this year. That includes a six-inning showing on Opening Day March 27 as he allowed two runs on three hits with no walks and nine strikeouts where he didn’t factor in the decision in a 5-2 Boston win. The Red Sox bullpen has been less than stellar this season and that could prove to be the different. Take the Rangers in this contest as they claim the opener.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 5, 2025 )
Houston Astros vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Bet: Houston Astros ML/-105 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
Houston has won four of its last six. Milwaukee has dropped seven of its last 10 games. Houston has struggled at the plate this season, but on the mound, the Astros are second in WHIP (1.10) and sixth in ERA (3.35). In contrast, Milwaukee is 23rd in WHIP (1.36) and 25th in ERA (4.45). Houston starting pitcher Ronel Blanco has given up four runs in the last two starts in 11/2 innings of work. Blanco has allowed three runs or less in each of the last four starts. With Houston winning three of the four. Milwaukee starter Tobias Meyers has made just three appearances, two of which were starts and one out of the bullpen. Myers did not give up any hits or runs in one inning of work when Milwaukee lost on Friday to Chicago 10-0. Myers gave up two runs in each of his two starts this season, one of which was two innings while the other was four innings.
NBA Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 4, 2025 )
Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets
Bet: Golden State Warriors ML/+120 ( sportsbook: FanDuel ) Winner
It is win-or-go home for the Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors Sunday night in round one of the Western Conference playoffs. The Warriors had a commanding three games to one lead in this series going into game five, but just like 2016, they are a game away from being unable to close their opponent out. The young Rockets weren’t given much of a chance in this series heading in, and even less of a fighting chance when they were facing elimination, but through gritty performances in the last two games are now one win away from advancing to the second round. Rockets head coach Ime Udoka has done a great job in his first two seasons leading the Rockets. Udoka made the adjustment in game five to begin blitzing Stephen Curry when he has the ball outside the three-point arc. The blitz has not been a standard double team, but instead he has brought multiple defenders at Curry to create a wall in front of him, blocking all passing lanes. The strategy has limited Curry’s options and has resulted in eight turnovers to only nine assists from Curry in the last two defeats. With this being a game seven, Warriors’ head coach Steve Kerr will need to find an adjustment for his team to help them regain the upper hand. This could come in the form of Draymond Green or Jimmy Butler III bringing the ball up the court, and Curry playing more off the ball. Overall, we are putting more trust in the Warriors and their experience in this game seven. The Rockets are one of the younger teams in the league with an average age slightly below 25. The Warriors have been in game sevens before, and they know what it takes to win. The Rockets can`t overcome the Warriors’ experience to win this game.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 4, 2025 )
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Bet: Milwaukee Brewers ML/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
This is a true rivalry, with each team winning 10 of the last 20 head-to-head contests. The Cubs dominated on Friday, but Sunday looks like a good spot to back Milwaukee. Brewers starting pitcher Freddy Peralta is 6-2 lifetime with a 3.16 ERA in 18 career appearances against the Cubs, including a 2.55 ERA in three starts against them last season. This season, Peralta has also been in excellent form, posting a 0.69 ERA at home and a 2.45 ERA in day games. On the other side, Shota Imanaga has been impressive overall, but he was hammered last season in his only career start against the Brewers. Imanaga has also performed better in night games this season compared to his 4.38 ERA during the day. We like Milwaukee here.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 3, 2025 )
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet: San Diego Padres ML/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The three-game series between the San Diego Padres and Pittsburgh Pirates will proceed with a game on Saturday, May 3, 2025, at PNC Park starting at 1:05 PM PDT. With a record of 20–11 the Padres celebrated their third straight win after defeating their opponents 9–4 in Friday's series opener. Luis Arraez drove in three runs with three hits while Fernando Tatis Jr. departed early due to a forearm hit from a pitch which showed no damage on initial X-rays. The San Diego team will start right-hander Randy Vásquez (1–3, 4.28 ERA) against Pittsburgh's left-handed pitcher Bailey Falter (1–3, 5.93 ERA) in Saturday’s game. Vásquez has demonstrated potential at times yet his control problems have led to him walking 19 batters across 27.1 innings. Falter has demonstrated inconsistency in his game as he gave up seven runs during his most recent appearance against the Dodgers. The Padres are scoring an average of 3.9 runs per game while their team batting average stands at .259. The Pirates score 3.42 runs per game while maintaining a team batting average of .226. Pittsburgh seeks to recover and stabilize its position within the series as San Diego works to prolong its winning run and preserve its edge in the challenging NL West division.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 2, 2025 )
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Bet: Chicago Cubs ML/-120 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
This is the first meeting of the season between the division rivals. Last year, Milwaukee went 8-5 in the 13 meetings between these two. This time around, the Cubs are a much different bunch, and a lot more put together. They are also one of the best teams on the road this season, coming into this series with a 10-6 record away from home. Their starter, Brown, had his best start of the year on the road when he tossed six scoreless innings and allowed just five hits against the Dodgers. In fact, both of Brown’s wins have come on the road this year. Priester did pitch well in his one home start this season, but that was three weeks back now. However, his team is coming off of a shutout at the hands of the lowly White Sox and that might take a game or two to shake off. It doesn’t help that they now face a good team from Chicago. Take the Cubs.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for May 1st, 2025 )
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
Bet: Cleveland Guardians ML/-110 ( sportsbook: FanDuel ) Winner
The Minnesota Twins are struggling to win games on the road, dropping three of four series on the season. The Cleveland Guardians have been a threat at home, where they stand at 10-5 after another win on Wednesday evening. Furthermore, Twins pitcher Woods Richardson has pitched 5.1 or fewer innings in four of his five performances this season. He has posted a weak 5.79 ERA on the road. Woods Richardson has surrendered at least one home run in four consecutive outings. Guardians pitcher Ben Lively is no ace, but the Guardians are winning games with him on the mound. The Guardians have won in four of Lively’s previous five starts.
NBA Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 30, 2025 )
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets
Bet: Houston Rockets -4.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Game 4 of this series was the highest scoring one of this series so far with the two teams tallying 215 points total. But don’t let that fool you, the intensity on both ends was the highest it’s been in the 4 games played so far. Jimmy Butler returned from his injury and carried the Warriors with 27 points and 6 assists, while Brandin Podziemski stepped up and helped with 26 as Stephen Curry struggled to get shots up as the Rockets defense centered around slowing him down. Wednesday’s game will see the Warriors try to close this series with another win in Houston and naturally it’ll be the toughest game of the series yet. Playing Alperen Sengun and Steven Adams at the same time for extended minutes was a stroke of genius from Ime Udoka on Monday, the Rockets were in it until the very end when they once again crumbled under the pressure. Free throw shooting is something that’ll need to be addressed ahead of Game 5, they shot just 19 for 31 from the charity stripe which ultimately cost them the game. Turnovers were also a factor with 13 committed, compared to just 8 by the Warriors. But it all comes down to Jalen Green and how he performs. For the 3rd time in this series he finished scoring single digit points, he’s now done that 6 times over his last 7 games overall. What’s even more concerning is the fact that he attempted only 8 shots total, his confidence is just gone at this point. Wednesday’s game is a do-or-die scenario for the Rockets, they need their crowd to carry them in order to get this thing back to San Francisco. At 29-12 SU they were one of the better home teams during the regular season, in their last 13 games at Toyota Center they’ve lost only 3 times. Yes, the Warriors have had their number so far, but with the stakes being so high that’ll bring out the best out of this young team. Also, Jimmy Butler logged 40 mins total just days after falling on his back, he might not have enough time to recover here. We`ll give the Rockets the benefit of the doubt and back them to win and force Game 6.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play rescheduled due to weather conditions for April 30, 2025 )
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Bet: Cincinnati Reds ML/-140 ( sportsbook: FanDuel ) Loser
Don't look now, but the Cincinnati Reds are surging. Very quietly, they have won five in a row to climb within just one-game behind the Chicago Cubs for the top spot in the competitive, NL Central division. The Reds have dominated the Cardinals, taking five of the last seven meetings, which includes Game 1 of this series yesterday, 3-1. You know the Cardinals have talent, folks. But they're sitting in fourth place in the division, at just 12-17. When they're playing on their own field, they're pretty darn good. However, their road record is one of the worst in baseball at 2-12 away from home. Their lineup was hitting the ball. But they have accounted for just a combined two total runs scored over their last two outings, which has resulted in two losses. Their pitching staff has been downright ugly. They are 21st in the league, with a Team ERA of 4.33. Today, they send Miles Mikolas to the mound. The right-hander is winless, at 0-2, with a whopping ERA of 5.70. As a matter of fact, the team has dropped all five of his outings this season. He doesn't strike out too many battlers. He doesn't walk too many either. But he does give up a lot of hits, folks. Cincinnati is putting up some good numbers, ranking fourth in scoring, averaging over 5.28 runs per game, and sixth in pitching, with a Team ERA of 3.37. Today, they have Brady Singer on the bump. The right-hander is a perfect, 4-0 with a 3.62 ERA on the campaign. The team has won four of his five turns. He's been averaging about six innings pitched per outing, amassing a ton of strikeouts, and never allowing more than three earned runs this season. You've got to fade St. Louis Cards when they travel, and certainly stay with the red hot Cincinnati Reds to make money today.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for April 29, 2025 )
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Bet: Cincinnati Reds ML/-140 ( sportsbook: FanDuel ) Postponed
Don't look now, but the Cincinnati Reds are surging. Very quietly, they have won five in a row to climb within just one-game behind the Chicago Cubs for the top spot in the competitive, NL Central division. The Reds have dominated the Cardinals, taking five of the last seven meetings, which includes Game 1 of this series yesterday, 3-1. You know the Cardinals have talent, folks. But they're sitting in fourth place in the division, at just 12-17. When they're playing on their own field, they're pretty darn good. However, their road record is one of the worst in baseball at 2-12 away from home. Their lineup was hitting the ball. But they have accounted for just a combined two total runs scored over their last two outings, which has resulted in two losses. Their pitching staff has been downright ugly. They are 21st in the league, with a Team ERA of 4.33. Today, they send Miles Mikolas to the mound. The right-hander is winless, at 0-2, with a whopping ERA of 5.70. As a matter of fact, the team has dropped all five of his outings this season. He doesn't strike out too many battlers. He doesn't walk too many either. But he does give up a lot of hits, folks. Cincinnati is putting up some good numbers, ranking fourth in scoring, averaging over 5.28 runs per game, and sixth in pitching, with a Team ERA of 3.37. Today, they have Brady Singer on the bump. The right-hander is a perfect, 4-0 with a 3.62 ERA on the campaign. The team has won four of his five turns. He's been averaging about six innings pitched per outing, amassing a ton of strikeouts, and never allowing more than three earned runs this season. You've got to fade St. Louis Cards when they travel, and certainly stay with the red hot Cincinnati Reds to make money today.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for April 28, 2025 )
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros
Bet: Houston Astros ML/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Detroit comes into this series with one of the best records in all of baseball, but they are just 5-7 on the road. Houston started the season struggling at the plate, but they have played better over the last two weeks and are 9-6 at home. The Astros are starting Blanco, who has allowed two earned runs in two of his last three starts. On the other side, the Tigers are going with Flaherty, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his five starts this year. Flaherty has pitched well this season, but Detroit is just 1-4 in his five outings. Take Houston to get the win here.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Bet: Baltimore Orioles ML/+100 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Baltimore Orioles will look to bounce back from a three-game sweep in Motown on Monday when they welcome the New York Yankees into Oriole Park at Camden Yards for the opener of the three-game set between the AL East rivals. Tonight represents the team's first meeting of 2025. Aside from logging series wins at Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay—in their spring training ball park—the Yankees haven't been anything to write home about when on the road. Oddsmakers at DraftKings Sportsbook seem to have factored that in, listing New York as short road favorites for tonight's opener. With the Orioles finally back home, look for them to vent some pent-up frustrations and start the series off on the right foot.
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
Bet: Texas Rangers ML/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
Patrick Corbin has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 2.25 and 11 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Athletics in his career. The Athletics are 3-5 as underdogs on the road this season. The Rangers have a record of 7-0 as favorites at home this season. While both pitchers have a strong record against the opposing team the Rangers have a stronger bullpen to back up their strong start from Corbin. The Athletics do not have that kind of strength in their bullpen and as a result should fall late the Rangers. Furthermore, Athletics pitcher J.P. Sears is solid, but he only went five innings against Texas last week. The A’s bullpen has been subpar, posting a 4.02 ERA on the year, while the Rangers' bullpen has a 3.32 ERA. Rangers pitcher Patrick Corbin just pitched against the A’s last week and was sharp, conceding only two runs in a win. Texas has won in Corbin's past two starts. The Rangers will be seeking retribution after dropping a series against the A’s on the road last week. We are taking the Rangers on the money line.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for April 27, 2025 )
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
Bet: Boston Red Sox ML/-105 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Guardians have survived their games with Allen on the mound, mostly because of their fielding and offense. Allen has not reached the sixth inning yet this season, and has not struck out more than six in any of his four starts. His strikeout to walk ratio is not very strong, as it is only 16-10 through his four starts. Boston is sending out Bello, he is only making his second start of the season, but he started 30 games last year for the Red Sox. Bello is likely to go deeper in the game, and will show he has more power than Allen and will control this game. Boston has been climbing the AL East standings, passing the Blue Jays recently and looking to take the top spot. Boston will continue to climb as they get their young pitcher back here. Take Boston to win.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. San Diego Padres
Bet: San Diego Padres ML/-120 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
The San Diego Padres are the better team and should be able to win in this game to avoid being swept. Zack Littell has struggled to be effective in three of his five starts and allowed at least one homer in each of his previous four starts. San Diego is also best in baseball with a 1.61 reliever ERA up to this point while Tampa Bay is just seventh with a 3.12 reliever ERA so far. Go with the San Diego Padres to win this game despite the injuries in their lineup.
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Bet: Arizona Diamondbacks ML/-105 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Atlanta starting pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach is off to an excellent beginning to the season with a 2.56 ERA, which is 25th in baseball, and a 0.92 WHIP, which is 11th best. The right-hander gave up two runs on 8 hits in seven innings last Monday to beat St Louis. Arizona starter Brandon Pfaadt has had three consecutive strong outings, allowing 13 hits and just two earned runs in the last 17.2 innings, resulting in victories over Baltimore, Miami, and Tampa Bay. This match-up between two strong starting pitchers will be close throughout, but the advantage here goes to Arizona, playing at home. Arizona has produced better at the plate than Atlanta. The Diamondbacks are third in both slugging percentage and runs scored, while fourth in on-base percentage and 12th in batting average. In contrast, Atlanta is 9th in slugging percentage, 14th in on-base percentage, 15th in batting average, and 20th in runs scored. Arizona is 14-6 in the last 20 games against a team from the National League East.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for April 26, 2025 )
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers (Game 1)
Bet: Detroit Tigers ML/-120 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Tigers are 10-3 at home entering Friday night's game with the O's. They are also a perfect 4-0 with Jobe on the hill this season. The Tigers' starter has an ERA of 2.70 and his limited teams to 14 hits in 20 innings of work and has a WHIP of 1.20. The Orioles are just 5-8 away from home this season, entering play on Friday night. This is a tough start for Young, who was not good in his first start, but did battle. But the Reds are not the Tigers, who are hitting .263 at home and have a .420 slugging percentage with 15 homers. We really like the home team in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the Tigers are 10-3 at home and Detroit's scheduled starter Casey Mize has a 1.38 ERA in two home starts, and has allowed 0 or 1 run in three of four starts overall for the season.
Take the Tigers with the money line.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs
Bet: Cincinnati Reds ML/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
We’re looking at two teams heading in opposite directions with the Phillies losing five straight while the Cubs have won three straight. Chicago has been explosive offensively all season long and have won their fair share of slugfests in the first month of the year. The Cubs lead the league in runs per game this season and they are also sitting atop the pile in overall batting average. One of the biggest strengths of the Chicago offense this season has been their ability to hit the long ball. The Phillies have been inconsistent at the plate this season and they have regularly left runners stranded to close out innings. Given their pitching staff sits bottom 10 in home runs allowed and are near the bottom of the league in hits allowed, expect the Cubs to take advantage here.
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Bet: Atlanta Braves ML/+100 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
This is the first series of the season between the teams. Last year, Atlanta was 5-2 in the seven games between the teams. The Braves struggled through the first few weeks of the season but seem to have finally found some footing. This is still a very strong baseball team and now that they are stringing together wins, opponents could be in trouble. Holmes looks stronger each time he gets the ball for the Braves, allowing a combined four runs over his las three starts. While the Braves haven’t had a ton of success on the road this season, they haven’t really started to play well until this past week. Momentum is in their corner coming into this road trip. Arizona was just 7-6 at Chase Field this season. Atlanta is 6-4 in the last ten games between the two. Take the Braves.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for April 25, 2025 )
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Bet: St. Louis Cardinals ML/-125 ( sportsbook: BetMGM ) Winner
St. Louis has home field here and a rest advantage as they flew home Wednesday after closing the set in Atlanta. The Cardinals had Thursday off while the Brewers faced the Giants in San Francisco and then had to fly in after. That could take a toll on the Brewers’ bullpen, especially with their starter Thursday, Tobias Myers, making his first start of the year. St. Louis is a solid 8-4 at home compared to 2-11 on the road. Liberatore has been solid in his four starts, going at least six innings in each of his outings this season. Give the edge to the Redbirds in this contest as they earn the victory in the opener.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies
Bet: Cincinnati Reds ML/-132 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Reds have underachieved up to this point but none of that matters here. The Rockies are ridiculously bad and looking more and more like the worst team in baseball. The Rockies also played a doubleheader last night that used seven pitchers. Not great with no day of rest. Abbott has also been strong through 11 innings this season, allowing four hits and two runs while striking out 16. We are going to continue fading the Rockies until they show some sort of life, and this line is a joke given their play up to this point. We`ll gladly lay the soft price with the Reds.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 24, 2025 )
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics
Bet: Texas Rangers ML/-135 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
Jacob deGrom turned the clock back last time out and dominated the mighty Dodgers through seven innings. We expect another strong outing from deGrom when he faces the Athletics, whose line is very dangerous. On the other side, J.T. Ginn will continue to lean on his sinker (62 percent of usage). Ginn ranks in the 93rd percentile in groundball percentage and the 85th percentile in strikeout percentage, but he’s in the 4th percentile in hard-hit percentage. It’s hard to trust the Athletics bullpen, so we are going with the Rangers, whose lineup will only improve in future days. The Rangers ‘pen struggled in the opening game of this series, but it still looks better than the Athletics bullpen. Over the last 10 days, the Rangers bullpen has accounted for a 2.38 ERA and 3.56 FIP, while the Athletics ‘pen has recorded a 4.28 ERA and 3.39 FIP.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 23, 2025 )
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
Bet: Houston Astros ML/-115 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
We really like the home team in this matchup. The Blue Jays and Astros have been heading in different directions. The ability for the pitching staff to keep the ball in the park is significant and there is a glaring difference between these teams. Toronto is tied for 27th with 31 home runs allowed this season while Houston is tied for sixth in MLB with only 20 homers given up. The line looks mispriced when you consider that the slumping Blue Jays have managed just eight total runs during a four-game losing streak, and they’re facing an Astros team that has already seen right-hander Bowden Francis (2-2, 3.13 ERA). Francis has struggled against Houston in limited action, going 0-1 with a 12.27 ERA in two career outings (one start). On the flip side, there’s minimal scouting info on Astros starter Ryan Gusto (2-1, 3.18 ERA), who’s logged just 17 innings across six big league appearances (two starts), which should give him an edge the first time through the lineup. The Astros are playing their best ball of the season over the last week, and Gusto is off to a fine rookie season. Gusto has allowed 18 hits and six runs through 17 innings while averaging a strikeout per frame. Gusto is also going deeper into games as of late. We will ride the hot hand and side with the Astros for the sweep.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 22, 2025 )
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
Bet: Chicago Cubs ML/+100 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
These two have already met two different times and played a total of five games against each other. Los Angeles picked up wins the first three times they met, which included two games in Japan, but Chicago has picked off the last two games against the Dodgers, including a 16-0 blowout win just 10 days ago. This is an excellent pitching matchup, especially given the fact that May seems to have already returned to his pre-injury self. However, this will be the best offense he has faced to this point. He’s also been off for seven days now, so there could be a bit of rust to shake there, especially since he’s only tossed 17 innings thus far. Imanaga, on the other hand, is in full motion and will be the first player in the game to make six starts on the year. He hasn’t been cheap about them either, minus his loss where he allowed five runs versus Texas. The Cubs’ lefty had allowed just 4.5 hits per game and though he’s allowed a few more walks, 10, than he would like to have, Imanaga has been quick to snuff out threats. He threw four no-hit innings against L.A. in Japan back in mid-March and didn’t allow a run despite four walks. Imanaga seems to be an issue for this Dodgers lineup. Chicago is 5-4 against Los Angeles in the last nine meetings. Take the Cubs.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 21, 2025 )
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
Bet: New York Mets ML/-125 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Philadelphia Phillies have been shaky on the road, where they have yet to win a series this season. This includes a series loss against the Cardinals. The New York Mets continue to shine. They have won nine of their ten home games on the season. Furthermore, Phillies pitcher Aaron Nola has been exposed. The veteran squandered five runs in his season debut in late March and 11 runs in 16.1 innings this month. We absolutely love the Mets in this game. They’ve been playing extraordinarily well recently, going 13-4 in their last 17 games. They’re coming off of a series sweep against the Cardinals, and they enter this game riding a four-game winning streak. Additionally, the Mets will turn to Tylor Megill, who has been lights out this season with a 1.40 ERA over four starts (19.1 IP). He has shut down the Phillies in his career, sporting a dazzling 2.51 ERA against the rivals, limiting their current lineup to a slash line of .198/.266/.279 over 86 at-bats. New York also has a massive edge in bullpen ERA, where they’re third in the MLB (2.27), compared to Philadelphia’s mark of 29th (5.81). Also, the Phillies have lost in all four of Nola's starts this season. All signs point to the Mets taking care of business in this one.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for April 20, 2025 )
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Texas Rangers
Bet: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5/+100 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
The Los Angeles Dodgers have consistently met expectations this season, both in the win column and against the run line, making them an appealing betting option. With 4 wins in their last 5 games and 6 of their last 9 straight up, the Dodgers are on a roll. They've also covered the run line in 4 of those 5 games and 5 of their last 8, showcasing their ability to dominate. In non-league matchups, they’ve covered the run line in 4 out of 5 games and have a strong record of covering when favored, doing so in 10 of their last 20 games. In contrast, the Texas Rangers have struggled, winning only 4 of their last 8 games straight up and covering the run line just 4 times in their last 11. Moreover, they’ve only managed to cover the run line in 2 of 8 non-league games and 9 of 21 overall. While the Rangers show signs of improvement, their inconsistency, paired with the Dodgers' reliable performance and pitching strength, makes betting on the Dodgers the smart choice. Back the Los Angeles Dodgers to secure the series win in this early season MLB matchup.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Bet: New York Yankees -1.5 RL/+110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Tampa Bay rallied to win the third game of the series but that was thanks to a meltdown by Devin Williams, who has a 9.00 ERA in the opening month of the year. One can’t bank on that sort of issue happening on a regular basis and having to score 10 runs to earn a win isn’t sustainable either. New York still is dangerous offensively and Fried has pitched well in his last three outings entering this game. The Yankees have the edge on the mound and facing a Rays team that is inconsistent in the early going works in their favor. Take New York in this contest as they prevail to take the series.
NO Plays released for April 19, 2025
NBA Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 18, 2025 )
Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks
Bet: Miami Heat ML/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Miami surprised a lot of people by not just winning their play-in game against Chicago, but in the manner in which they did so. They held one of the most prolific offenses in the NBA to just 90 points and under 40% shooting from the field and just 27% from three. That performance reminded us of the good old days when the Heat were a tough nut to crack on defense. We expect a similar approach in Friday’s game against Atlanta, especially against star player Trae Young, whom the Heat have been able to contain fairly well over the past 5 meetings. The 2 teams did split the 4 regular-season meetings, but the Heat won the 2 most recent ones by double digits. Scoring just 95 points against the Magic was a huge disappointment for the Hawks, who once again were exposed on the defensive end. It’s no secret that Young is a defensive liability, and Cole Anthony came off the bench for Orlando and with a couple of others went at Young relentlessly, which just added to the frustration of the Hawks star. Atlanta also allowed 58 points in the paint in the loss, which isn’t a good look going up against Bam Adebayo, who is averaging 21.7 points and 9.1 rebounds per game over his last 10 outings. Atlanta did finish the year with a positive record at home and that’ll be the one thing they’ll be relying on in Friday’s game. We were really impressed by what the Heat showed on Wednesday. Apart from Young, Atlanta is lacking the necessary experience in big moments. The Heat have already been in situations like this before, so even though they are on the road here we give them a big edge in this win-or-go-home matchup. The Atlanta Hawks are not the team they once were playing at the State Farm Arena anymore. There was a time this team was money at home. Just recently, they have failed to cover in three of their last four played at home, folks. This season, they are 21-19 straight up on their own court. But they are truly immortal playing on their own court over the last several seasons. The Atlanta defense has been a doormat all season long, ranking 27th, getting plowed for over 120.8 points per game. As a matter of fact, in most defensive categories, they rank near the bottom. Yes, they can score some points on offense. But in this match up they are in trouble because they face one of the stingiest and most frustrating defenses in the NBA. The Heat allow just 111.4 points per game, they are better on the boards, and significantly better from the free-throw line. We think this game is going to get physical, and that definitely gives Miami an advantage. Take the Heat here to punch their ticket to Cleveland with a win here.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for April 17, 2025 )
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
Bet: Detroit Tigers ML/-150 ( sportsbook: BetRivers ) Winner
On Thursday April 17, 2025 the Detroit Tigers will start a four-game series at Comerica Park against the Kansas City Royals. The Detroit Tigers who lead AL Central with a 10–7 record need to bounce back from consecutive defeats in Milwaukee where their team scored only one run across two games. After dropping three consecutive games in a difficult series in New York the Royals who currently hold a third-place position in their division with an 8–10 record are attempting to reverse their losing trend. Right-handed pitcher Reese Olson (1–1, 6.00 ERA) will take the mound for Detroit while Kansas City responds with their veteran right-handed pitcher Michael Lorenzen (1–2, 4.50 ERA). Olson works to establish a more consistent performance following a challenging start to the season while Lorenzen focuses on delivering stability to support the Royals' rotation which lacks depth. Spencer Torkelson leads the Tigers offense with a .273 batting average and six home runs paired with 13 RBIs. Their offensive performance has been problematic at the plate with Riley Greene experiencing a significant slump by managing only one hit in 32 recent plate appearances. The Royals have struggled to maintain offensive consistency by averaging only 2.2 runs per game in their most recent ten games. Bobby Witt Jr. stands out as a positive element on the team with his nine-game hitting streak and impressive .353 batting average in his most recent ten games. Home cooking should provide the necessary boost for the Tigers to regain their winning momentum on this Thursday game.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Bet: Tampa Bay Rays ML/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
The Yankees are coming off a home sweep over the royals and turn to Will Warren who is making his fourth start and while he has not been horrible, he has been far from dominating. He is coming off a start where he allowed two runs over five innings, his second start with the same stat lines but both were at home and in his lone road outing, he gave up four runs in four innings against the Pirates. He has struggled ever since hitting the rotation last July as he has an 8.35 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in eight starts and one relief appearance. Tampa Bay fell to 8-10 on the season following a pair of losses against Boston after opening the series with a 16-1 win as it has been unable to take advantage of a skewed opening schedule where 15 of its first 18 games have been at home so this is an important series. Taj Bradley is coming off a solid opening start as he tossed a quality outing and then posted another quality start last time out. Those were both at home with a poor road start in-between and going back to last season, he has a 3.66 ERA in 15 home starts. After a rough rookie campaign where he posted a 5.59, he dropped that by nearly a run and a half over 25 starts last season. Play Tampa Bay Rays.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers
Bet: Texas Rangers ML/-140 ( sportsbook: BetRivers ) Winner
The Angels have never seen Kumar Rocker before, and that’s the Rangers’ advantage in this matchup. The current Rangers know Jack Kochanowicz well and are 11-for-36 with a double and a home run against him. Hereof, we are going with the Rangers even though Rocker has struggled a lot through his first three starts of the season. It’s hard to trust Kochanowicz, and the Angels bullpen has been an absolute disaster over the last few games. The Halos ‘pen has compiled a terrible 6.39 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, and a .302 batting average against so far this season.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for April 16, 2025 )
Seattle Mariners vs. Cincinnati Reds
Bet: Seattle Mariners ML/-125 ( sportsbook: BetRivers ) Winner
Bryce Miller is 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA in two career starts against the Reds. He pitched once at Great American Ball Park in 2023, allowing one earned run on seven hits across five innings of work in a no-decision. Miller turned the corner last time out, and we expect him to fare well in this matchup. The current Reds are 7-for-27 with a double and two home runs versus Miller, and Cincinnati has accounted for a poor .634 OPS and 76 wRC+ against the right-handed pitchers over the last 10 days and 214 plate appearances. Nick Martinez is arguably the weakest link in the Reds’ rotation. He’s allowed at least three earned runs in each of his three starts this term. Martinez is 0-3 with a 4.41 ERA in five career starts and three relief appearances versus Seattle, and the current Mariners are 10-for-31 with two doubles and a home run against him.
Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles
Bet: Cleveland Guardians ML/+110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
Cleveland failed to get the sweep against Kansas City and had its five-game winning streak snapped with a 4-2 loss on Sunday but bounced back with an east series opening win on Tuesday. The Guardians pitching has paved the way to get back over .500 with a lot of that with the bullpen which has a 2.58 ERA, No. 4 in baseball following possessing the best bullpen in the league last season. Gavin Williams has not been able to go very long in any of his three starts but he has not blown up and kept the Guardians in games where they have gone 2-1 and he has put up a decent 3.46 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. He is back on the road where his ERA of 3.56 from last season was three runs better than his ERA at home. The Orioles split their two-game series against Toronto over the weekend and the bats came out slow last night and the pitching could not help out. Baltimore is built around its young offense but through 16 games they are right in line with Cleveland in most major hitting categories including identical .305 wOBA rankings. Dean Kreamer has been very average the last two seasons and he has been even worse to start this season with an 8.16 ERA and 1.67 WHIP through three starts. All three starts have been on the road but a return home likely will not make a difference as he posted a 4.38 ERA in 19 home starts in 2023 and a 4.45 ERA in 11 home starts last season. Play Cleveland Guardians.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 15, 2025 )
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees
Bet: New York Yankees -1.5 RL/-106 ( sportsbook: BetRivers ) Winner
This was a game that almost made it as a guaranteed release for us today in baseball. Let's talk about the Royals/Yankees matchup. Well folks, despite being hit or miss, no pun intended, over the last week or so, the Yankees lineup still ranks second in the Majors, accounting for over 6.19 runs spread game, fifth in team batting average, first in OPS, and are the best long-ball hitting lineup in baseball, amassing over 32 round-trippers already. Not only that, but they are stealing bases as well. They took down the Royals yesterday, 4-1 in the series-opener. That victory put them back on top of the AL East. They have certainly dominated this American League rival, taking three in a row, and seven of the last 10 matchups with Kansas City. Speaking of the Royals, they are just 8-9, and sit in third place in the AL Central. They are a dismal, 2-5 on the road this season. Their offense, owns some of the poorest statistics in the Majors: 29th in scoring, 24th in team batting average, 28th in OPS, and 29th in home runs. Overall, their pitching staff has been quite respectable. But not getting any real run support. Speaking of pitching, they send Michael Wacha to the bump. He is winless, at 0-2 with a 4.20 ERA already. Over his career against New York, he has done well. But he's not a kid anymore, that's for sure, and the team has dropped his last two turns against the Yankees lineup. For NY, Max Fried gets the nod. He is 2-0 with 1.56 ERA, coming off his best start in pinstripes. Over his career, he has gotten the better of Kansas City. With the lack of power at the plate for KC, and the way NY has dominated this rivalry, we looked for the Yankees to put a hurting on the Royals here big time. Take New York on the run line, and take your bookmakers money.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for April 14, 2025 )
New York Mets vs. Minnesota Twins
Bet: New York Mets ML/+100 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
NY owns the top -pot in the competitive, National League East, with an overall record of 10-5. There are 5-4 away from home this season, and while they're offense is middle of the road, their pitching is the best in baseball. Their Team ERA of 2.30 gives them the No. 1 pitching staff in the Majors. To be quite honest, most of their pitching statistics are pretty darn impressive. They will send Clay Holmes to the hill here. The right-hander is 1-1 with a 4.30 ERA this season. He has pitched almost 16 innings, and struck out 20 already. The team has won his last two starts. Over his career, in nine relief appearances against the Twins, he is 2-1 with a 1.94 ERA. Minny is just one-loss away from dwelling in the American League Central cellar at 5-11. Behind them by a half-game is the Chicago White Sox. This is a team that is struggling everywhere, particularly at home where they are just 2-4. They have dropped seven of their last 10, which does include three straight at Target Field. They rank 24th in Scoring, 27th in Team Batting Average, and 17th in Team ERA. No matter how you look at it, this team is struggling. They send Joe Ryan to the mound. The right-hander is an impressive 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA this season. He comes off a good outing. But that was against the lackluster Kansas City Royals. He has to face a surging NY offense here, that is a big reason why they have won eight of their last 10 overall games. By the way, the Mets have dominated this Interleague rivalry, taking six of the last nine meetings going back to several seasons. They're just playing very good baseball, while their opponent here is not. Take New York, and take your book makers money.
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees
Bet: Kansas City Royals ML/+125 ( sportsbook: BetRivers ) Loser
What is Carlos Carrasco doing on a big league roster? Worse, what is he still doing in the Yankees' starting rotation? We don't care how many pitching injuries the Yankees have, they certainly can do better than Carrasco. The 38-year-old Carrasco has given up 10 runs in 12 innings for a 7.71 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. The washed-up righty holds a 5.39 ERA for the last five years. His ERA the past two seasons was 5.64 and 6.80. Opposing Carrasco is Seth Lugo. We don't quite buy into Lugo's All-Star status, but he's certainly a solid pitcher. He has a 3.24 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Lugo also has a strong history against the Yankees with a 5-2 record, to go with a 2.55 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 35 1/3 innings. The Yankees rank in the top-three in runs and homers. However, they've cooled off. Only once in their last seven games have they scored more than four runs. Aaron Judge hasn't homered during his last eight games. Vinnie Pasquantino and Salvador Perez, meanwhile, have started to heat up for the Royals. The backend of Kansas City's bullpen has been better than the Yankees' top relief pitchers, too. Closer Devin Williams has looked terrible for New York so far.
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Bet: Tampa Bay Rays ML/-112 ( sportsbook: BetRivers ) Winner
The Red Sox have had a nightmare run over the past week, they dropped three of four in Fenway against divisional rival Toronto, and lost their first two games against the White Sox. These types of performances will not allow Boston to be competitive in the AL East if they keep it up. The switch is not easily flipped, and now they must travel to Tampa Bay next day to take on the Rays. Baz is on the mound for Tampa Bay, and he has not allowed more than two runs in his two starts, and has the much lower ERA in this pitching matchup. Boston has only scored three combined runs over their last two games, while the Rays are getting production from Aranda and Caminero. The Rays will grab the first game of this series at home.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for April 13, 2025 )
San Francisco Giants vs. New York Yankees
Bet: San Francisco Giants ML/+100 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
San Francisco has won nine of its last 11, and the Giants are 5-0 on the road over the last five. San Francisco has won 10 straight games against teams from the American League. New York has lost four of its last five, and the Yankees have dropped seven of the last nine against teams from the National League West. San Francisco is third best in team ERA at 2.74 and has its leader in ERA for starters on the mound. San Francisco starter Logan Webb has pitched well in each of his last two outings, allowing nine hits and one run in 14 innings with 16 strikeouts and no walks. New York starting pitcher Carlos Rodon has struggled in each of the last two outings, allowing seven hits and nine runs in 12 innings, with New York losing both games. Rodon struggled with control, issuing seven walks in those 12 innings.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians
Bet: Kansas City Royals ML/-135 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Let's go back to the Kansas City Royals in Game 3 of this series against the Cleveland Guardians. They will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games, and they have a big advantage on the mound with Cole Ragans over Ben Lively. Ragans went 11-9 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 32 starts last season with 223 K's. He is the clear ace of this staff already. He has posted a 2.81 ERA and 1.19 WHIP while allowing just 5 earned runs in 16 innings with 24 K's in three starts this season. Ben Lively is 21-28 with a 4.52 ERA and 1.34 WHIP with just 288 K's in 374 innings in his career. Lively is 0-1 with a 4.40 ERA in three starts this season while allowing 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 14 1/3 innings. He is 1-2 with a 4.79 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in four career starts against Kansas City. Bet the Royals Sunday.
New York Mets vs Athletics
Bet: New York Mets ML/-135 ( sportsbook: BetRivers ) Winner
It’s Sunday afternoon baseball in a minor league park, and it is a perfect day to play. Our New York Mets vs Athletics prediction is that the Mets will take the rubber match in this series. The teams have split close victories so far, with the Mets winning 7-6 on Friday and the A’s winning 3-1 on Saturday. We look for the Mets to win Sunday’s game behind a superior starting pitcher and some bats enjoying some ideal hitting conditions. Kodai Senga is the far better pitcher in this matchup. He has made 2 starts so far, both against the Marlins. The current A’s have basically never seen Senga, as they have a combined total of 5 ABs against him. Senga should have the Athletics’ bats all locked up. Opposing him is Luis Severino. Severino played for the Mets last year, managing to resurrect his career there before moving on. He is likely to be a journeyman the rest of his career though, and the A’s just want him to eat up some innings. He has done that so far, going at least 6 innings in all 3 outings this year. On the other hand, he has twice been tagged for 5 runs. We have to think the Mets have the advantage in this spot, and we expect them to win this one comfortably since the Mets know Luis Severino very well. Their current lineup is 14-for-39 with a couple of doubles and home runs versus Severino, who’s struggled mightily over his previous two starts. Hereof, we are going with the Mets. Just two guys from this Athletics team have seen Kodai Senga before, combining for two hits in five at-bats. The Mets bullpen has done a great job so far this season, tallying a sharp 1.93 ERA and 0.97 WHIP, while the Athletics ‘pen has accounted for a troublesome 4.85 ERA and 1.60 WHIP.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for April 12, 2025 )
Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins
Bet: Detroit Tigers ML/+130 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Twins offense is averaging only 3.38 runs per game, and that isn’t going to be enough to get the job done with Chris Paddack on the mound. Paddack gave up seven hits and three runs in his last start and he was lucky it wasn’t more. This Tigers offense has bats and even though they got out to a slow start on Friday, they broke out in the sixth inning. In this game, it’s not going to take until the 6th inning to get the job done. Back the Tigers on the moneyline to cash here big.
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox
Bet: Chicago White Sox ML/+140 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Chicago has suffered injuries early this season but will have its ace on the mound Saturday when facing Boston. The Red Sox have lost seven of the last 10 against a team from the American League. Boston starter Richard Fitts has had two below-average outings, allowing 12 hits and six runs in 12 Innings pitched, with Boston losing both of the games. Chicago starting pitcher Martin Perez has had two strong outings, allowing a total of four hits and one run in 12.1 innings. Perez gave up four hits and no runs in six innings versus Minnesota in his season debut and one run and four hits in 6.1 Innings versus Detroit last Sunday. Despite the stats and records leaning toward Boston winning on Saturday, Chicago, behind Perez on the mound and timely hitting from players such as Andrew Vaughn and Luis Robert Jr., will win.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
Bet: Cincinnati Reds ML/-125 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Andrew Heaney has been extremely impressive in his first 2 starts with the Pittsburgh Pirates, allowing just 1 earned run in both starts spanning a combined 12 innings. His most recent start was against a tough Yankees lineup, and he was lights out with 7 innings and 10 strikeouts. Pittsburgh allowed him to face the lineup the full way through 3 times, resulting in 100 pitches thrown after just 79 in his season debut. While he has looked good so far there is still part of me that questions the sustainability, and this is a tough matchup in a hitter-friendly park against a patient Reds lineup. Andrew Abbott is set to make his season debut after two recent AAA outings against the Kansas City affiliate. Perhaps we are higher on Abbott than the market, but we see an arm with solid command and strikeout potential and he did find success against the Pirates in both matchups back in 2023. He didn’t face them in 2024, but we expect him to pitch well enough to keep his team in the game today. The Reds hold a bullpen advantage as well and they will grab a win at home on Saturday.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Bet: Milwaukee Brewers ML/+150 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks square off again on Saturday night, following a 7-0 Brewers win on Friday night. The Brewers put together 7 runs on 10 hits behind a vintage effort from Jose Quintana on the mound. The Snakes looked lost at the plate, collecting only 4 hits. With Corbin Burnes taking the mound on Saturday, the D-Backs are heavy favorites. Remember that due to a coaching screw-up in spring training, Burnes opened the season in the 5th spot in the rotation for the Diamondbacks. That means he has thus far drawn a matchup against a bottom-end opponent. But Burnes has been anything but sharp—he has given up 8 runs in 2 starts, with neither start lasting beyond the 5th inning. It is not crazy to think he might have a short start again. Chad Patrick is a no-name pitcher for the Brewers, but he has been plenty serviceable so far. He has made 2 starts, allowing only 1 run in those starts. All we are saying is this: the entire betting world is going to bet Arizona (or stick it in a parlay), Burnes isn’t sharp yet, Patrick has been better than you think, Marte is still out for the D-Backs, and the Brewers just rolled up a 7-0 victory on Friday. Thinking they might win again isn’t the craziest idea. Give us the Brew Crew at a high payout.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for April 11, 2025 )
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Bet: Baltimore Orioles ML/-125 ( sportsbook: BetMGM ) Postponed
The Orioles and Blue Jays split their opening four-game series in Toronto. The Orioles will send Sugano to the hill coming off an outstanding start against the Royals in his last outing. The Orioles need to get back in the win column on Friday night, and they should thrive against the Jays. In the opening series, the Baltimore bats came alive, particularly the long ball. They have been an outstanding home team over the last few seasons, and this is just their fourth home game this year. They'll take care of business against the road-weary Jays. Take the Orioles with the money line.
Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians
Bet: Kansas City Royals ML/+110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
Both of these teams are hot as of late, as the Guardians have won three in a row and the Royals have won four of their last five games. Cleveland took two of three games from Kansas City on the road in the season's first series. Neither team has been great at plate on the season and neither ranks in the top 14 in baseball in team ERA. Bubic has had two great starts only giving up one run and will have another good outing, as while the Guardians won their last series it was against the weak Chicago White Sox and they only totaled 10 runs. Bibee was lit up in his last start giving up seven runs. He will have a decent outing and regarding the Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians prediction Bubic will continue his solid start and the KC lineup will get some clutch hits and add that up and you get a Royals’ win. Take the Royals at +130.
Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox
Bet: Red Sox -1.5 RL/+110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
It wasn’t the prettiest of wins, but the Red Sox pulled it off in the bottom of the 10th against the Blue Jays yesterday – and now, they look to build some momentum against a struggling White Sox team. These two teams are set to face each other 7 times in the next 10 days, which spells trouble for White Sox fans. Boston ranks 5th in the majors in runs scored (71), averaging 5.1 runs per game, while the White Sox sit dead last with just 35 runs scored this season, averaging 2.9 runs per game. Sean Newcomb is set to take the mound for the Red Sox who is 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA this season. While Newcomb looked better in his last outing against the Cardinals, he still hasn’t pitched more than 5 innings this season. For the White Sox, Davis Martin is set to take the mound who is 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA. Martin was solid in his first start of the season, but struggled in his last against the Tigers, giving up 7 runs on 9 hits in just 5 innings pitched. Neither pitcher has been sharp this season, but when you look at the big picture, Boston holds a significant advantage on offense. With hitters like Jarren Duran, Rafael Devers, and Wilyer Abreu in the lineup, Martin needs to be especially careful when they come to the plate; this trio can do some serious damage if given the chance. At the end of the day, this Red Sox team is better than Chico, and with their firepower at the plate they will be able to get the job done, as the White Sox are one of the worst offenses in the MLB. Let’s ride with this star-studded Boston lineup to win by 2+ runs.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston
Bet: Los Angeles Angels ML/+125 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
With the current form of each of these teams and with the way that Ronel Blanco (9.45 ERA, 2.10 WHIP) has looked out of the gate, we don’t really understand why the Astros are this big of favorites on Friday. We`ll gladly take a +125 flier on the Halos, who have won four of their last five games outright. In addition to Blanco’s horrendous start in 2025, he’s also performed poorly against the Angels in the past. Their current roster is slashing .345/.424/.552 against him over 29 at-bats. Meanwhile, Jack Kochanowicz has looked great to start the season, posting a 3.27 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 11.0 innings. If he’s at least serviceable against this Houston offense that’s 29th in scoring (3.17 RPG), then Los Angeles will win this game.
NBA Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 10, 2025 )
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers
Bet: Indiana Pacers -9/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
With the number one seed wrapped up, the Cleveland Cavaliers head into Indianapolis without much to play for on Thursday, which could result in a mixed line-up by head coach Kenny Atkinson. We saw what the Boston Celtics did on Wednesday night, resting most of their core players which resulted in a 96-76 loss in Orlando. You can’t really blame the Cavs for doing this, this is a historic opportunity for a franchise that hasn’t had much success outside the LeBron James years to make some noise in the postseason. Getting there rested and without injuries is a top priority, so we think we won’t see the likes of Garland, Mobley, Mitchell and Allen much in these remaining 3 games. For Indiana there’s plenty of reasons to still play at full capacity here. They are still in the running for the 3rd seed as the Knicks are 2 games ahead with 3 left to play. Plus, they also need a win to clinch the 4th seed and home court advantage in the first round. The team that’s chasing them is currently on a 5-game win streak, so there’s no room for complacency for Tyrese Haliburton and his teammates. Indy is also on a 5-game win streak, they’ve been particularly dominant in home games winning 12 of 13 and 28 of 39 on the season. From a betting perspective they’ve not been the most reliable teams to wager on, going just 6-13 ATS over their last 19 games. However, this time around they have a much easier job against a depleted Cavs team. This should be all Indiana. They have to make amends for beating the Washington Wizards by just 6 points, despite being 19 point favorites in their last game. After scoring just 9 threes and shooting under 38% from the field in that game, we are expecting a turnaround against the Cavs reserves here. Give us Indy to cover.
NHL Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 10, 2025 )
Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars
Bet: Dallas Stars ML/-120 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
The Stars have lost the last 3 but may be sitting on a big game here as they are 5-0 off 3 losses the last of which was as a home favorite vs an opponent with rest. The Jets are 0-4 as a road dog off a win vs a team like Dallas that has revenge. The Stars are 28-8 at home this year with a nice 3-1 win here vs Winnipeg back in December. Connor Hellebuyck has a record of 1-6-3 with a goals against average of 3.61 and a save percentage of .899 in his last ten games against the Stars on the road. Jake Oettinger has a record of 5-1-1 in 7 games with a goals against average of 2.14 and a save percentage of .919 in his last seven games against the Jets at home. The Stars have a 9-1-1 record as favorites against the Central Division at home this season. The Stars need a win to get back on track after their defense had fallen apart their last few games. This is the perfect opportunity for Dallas to get back on track and get one more game closer to overtaking the top of the Western Conference. Look for The Stars to shine tonight.
MLB Game of the Month Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 8, 2025 )
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Bet: Seattle Mariners ML/+110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Seattle enters this one having dropped four of their last five, including two frustrating one-run losses to the Astros and Giants. Their 4-8 record doesn’t reflect how competitive many of their games have been—they’ve lost six contests by two runs or less. The Mariners’ offense has actually been better than Houston’s, with a .208 team batting average, .312 OBP, and 13 home runs, more than double what the Astros have managed. The Astros have shown more signs of life, but that’s not saying much, and they have yet to string two wins together. The Mariners are too talented to stay in this funk for long, and Castillo is more trustworthy than Brown, even if the Astros pitcher has been solid through two starts. At home and with an all-star caliber pitcher, it’s too hard to turn down the Mariners and the plus money. That offense is also due for a breakout performance. We`ll take the Mariners as our Non-Guaranteed MLB Game of the Month No Limit Play.
MLB Game of the Week Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 8, 2025 )
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet: St. Louis Cardinals ML/+110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Cardinals have lost six of their last 10 games, while the Pirates have lost six of their last nine games. St. Louis has the edge here because they've crushed right-handed pitching this season and Keller has struggled on the mound, giving up eight runs in two starts. He gave up 11 runs in his last three starts against the Cardinals, and with Pittsburgh's bullpen struggling, they will have a hard time slowing down the Cardinals. Pittsburgh won't be as successful offensively because they're barely batting over .210 against right-handers and they didn`t had a lot of success against Fedde, who gave up five runs in his last three games against them, so go with St. Louis to win.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 7, 2025 )
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
Bet: Kansas City Royals ML/-112 ( sportsbook: FanDuel ) Winner
This contest features a Royals team looking to build momentum after a strong performance in their series against the Orioles. Kansas City’s offense has shown the ability to grind out quality at-bats, particularly against right-handed pitching. While dangerous at the plate, the Twins have struggled to consistently produce on the road, especially against pitchers who can limit power and induce soft contact. Lorenzen gives the Royals a clear edge on the mound, entering this matchup with a sub-2.00 ERA and an elite strikeout rate. His ability to command the zone and work deep into games has been a key factor for Kansas City this season. Given the Twins lack of hitting on the year, and ability to lose even when they are hitting the ball, expect the Royals to come away with an easy win in this matchup.
NO Plays released for April 6, 2025
NCAAB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Plays released for April 5, 2025 )
Nebraska vs. Boise State
Bet: Nebraska +2.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Finding clear-cut offense is vital in situations like this, where short film work and tiredness play a huge role. Nebraska has yet again the best one-two punch in the game between Brice Williams and Juwan Gary. That will be the difference. Boise State may have one of its main offensive routes eliminated in this game on the backboard. Even in this tournament, the Broncos have been strong on the backboard (just like in the regular season), posting a Top-25 offensive rebounding rate and a No. 1 defensive rebounding rate. But Nebraska can match that. In that same timeframe, the Huskers posted a defensive rebounding rate that was 12th nationally and an offensive rebounding rate that was not far behind. In both tournament games, the Broncos have outscored opponents by roughly a 2-1 margin on second-chance points. They'll face their first test of that being evened out. On the other hand, we've talked a ton about Nebraska's cutting bigs to the basket throughout this tournament. It's one of the foundational elements of its offense, as Nebraska runs it at a frequency rate in the 33rd percentile. Boise State has struggled to slow this down all season. The Broncos have allowed 1.01 points per possession on such sets, which is well above the national average. Georgetown faced a similar problem on paper when it faced Nebraska in the previous round. The Hoyas came into that game allowing nearly an identical amount. How did the Huskers respond? Attacking it with Gary, who finished with 17 points, as Williams facilitated things by dishing out a couple of dimes and finishing with 28 points. Such an effective scoring punch gives you a massive advantage in these settings and Nebraska has the best one on the floor. The edge will go to Nebraska here as they played a much tougher conference schedule which has led them to undervalue status. Williams will have the edge over Degenhart, as no one has been able to slow the 6-7 senior guard, giving the Cornhuskers the edge in this affair.
NCAAB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 5, 2025 )
Houston vs. Duke
Bet: Houston +5.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
After a long and grueling college basketball season, all roads have finally led to the Final Four in San Antonio, Texas. Not only have all four #1 seeds advanced to the Final Four, but we’ll get to see the top 2 teams per KenPom square off on Saturday, when the Houston Cougars will take on the Duke Blue Devils in the nightcap at the Alamodome. The winner will advance to the National Championship game game on Monday to play the winner of Florida vs. Auburn on the other side of the bracket. Both teams took different paths to get here, but the end result is ultimately the same. Duke absolutely rolled through all of its opponents in the East Region – Mt. St Mary’s, Baylor, Arizona and Alabama – thanks in large part to complete performances on both ends of the floor. This is a team that has been able to win in different ways all season long, and the Blue Devils certainly look like the best team in the country at the moment. As for the Cougars, Kelvin Sampson’s rough and rugged team showed that it is well-equipped to handle whatever challenges are thrown its way, as Houston survived back-to-back stern tests against Gonzaga and Purdue — winning both games by a combined 7 points — before demolishing an excellent Tennessee team last Sunday to advance to the Final Four. And while Duke is the team garnering all of the national headlines, we are of the opinion that Houston is very live in this game, giving the underdog some real value with the points. When factoring in data from the entire season, we can’t get anywhere near this number with Duke. In fact, our projection would be closer to a pick ’em line when looking at the totality of the season for both teams. Given that we have to take what we’ve seen in the NCAA Tournament into account, the Blue Devils should certainly be favored. With that said, Houston catching more than one possession is a bit much. especially since this profiles as a game that will have fewer possessions than what we’ll see in the other Final Four matchup. After all, the total for this game is currently listed in the mid-130s, which puts a premium on every point we can get with an underdog in this matchup. This game presents us with a fascinating clash of styles, and the winner will likely be the team that is able to impose its will on the game stylistically. Duke is elite in all areas, but the Blue Devils’ strengths on defense — defending in transition and at the rim — don’t align with what Houston wants to do offensively, which will be an edge for the Cougars here. Houston loves midrange jumpers, and the Cougar bigs do a stellar job of crashing the offensive glass and kicking the ball out for open threes. When they do get those attempts from deep, the Cougars shoot the ball at a very high percentage (39.7% as a team, good for 2nd in the nation). We just saw the likes of Emmanuel Sharp, LJ Cryer and Milos Uzan make jumpers against a tremendous Tennessee defense, so that formula is certainly replicable against a Duke team that is more than happy to let a team beat it with jumpers. On the other side of the ball, Houston is the toughest opponent for a team like Duke to deal with, especially since Cooper Flagg and the Blue Devils are going to be seeing this type of aggressive, physical, swarming team defense for the first time all season. The Cougars have the innate ability to shape any contest into the ideal game they want to play, and given that they are playing as well as any team remaining in this tournament, it’s hard to ignore taking the points with the top rated defense in the country. Houston’s veteran know-how, physicality and dominance on the glass should end up being the difference against a Duke team that while excellent, is certainly not invincible against an opponent of this caliber. All things considered, we have to take the points in a game that should come down to the wire.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for April 4, 2025 )
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers
Bet: Texas Rangers ML/-125 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
Zack Littell has a 0-2 record with an ERA of 9.82 and 9 strikeouts in 2 appearances for the Rays against the Rangers in his career. The Rangers are 9-1 in their last 10 games versus the Rays. While the Rays have exhibited better pitching than the Rangers to start their season the Rays also faced two of the worst batting teams in the league last season and may look better on paper than they actually are. Given how poorly Littell has done against the Rangers in his career and how much the Rangers love facing off against the Rays, we have to take them to grab the win.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals
Bet: Kansas City Royals ML/-105 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Orioles have lost three of their last five games, while the Royals have lost four of their last six games. Kansas City has the edge here because they're hitting the ball better against right-handers and they've had a lot of success against Kremer, who gave up six runs in his last two starts against them. With Baltimore's bullpen also struggling, expect the Royals to play well offensively in this game. Baltimore won't be as successful offensively because Lugo did a good job on the mound in his first start and has done well in recent starts against the Orioles, giving up five runs in his last two starts against them. With Kansas City's bullpen doing a better job than Baltimore's, expect them to keep the Orioles' offense in check. Take Kansas City on the money line.
NBA Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 3, 2025 )
Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers
Bet: Over 228.5/-110 ( sportsbook: FanDuel ) Winner
The Los Angeles Lakers were projected to be a pretty poor defensive team with the addition of Luka Doncic and no true defensive big man on the roster. That has come to fruition here down the stretch with the Lakers allowing 118 or more points in six of their last seven games overall. But the Lakers have scored at least 117 points in three of their last four and are an elite offensive team when Doncic, James and Reaves are healthy. The Lakers are 9-4 OVER in their last 13 games overall. The Golden State Warriors are thriving offensively with Steph Curry back healthy. They are coming off a 148-106 win at San Antonio for 254 combined points and a 134-125 win at Memphis for 259 combined points.
The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings and 8-1 in the last nine meetings between the Warriors and Lakers. They have combined for at least 223 points in all nine meetings, including 232 or more in five of their last seven. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.
MLB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 2, 2025 )
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
Bet: Detroit Tigers ML/-122 ( sportsbook: FanDuel ) Loser
The Tigers have had the Mariners' number recently, winning eight of the last 10 head-to-head meetings after Monday’s victory. Detroit also has the upper hand on the mound in this matchup. In three career starts against Seattle, Skubal is 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA. On the other hand, Luis Castillo is 0-4 with a 4.03 ERA in five career starts against the Tigers. Detroit has been the more impressive team, even in the early going. Their three losses came against the Dodgers, with one loss by a single run and another in extra innings. Meanwhile, the Mariners have been held to two runs or fewer in three of their last four games. Looking at the ability to slug shows a significant difference as the Tigers are eighth in MLB with a .456 team slugging percentage while the Mariners are down at 22nd with a .342 team slugging percentage so far. The ability to hit the ball where the defense ain’t is critical and these teams are on two completely different levels as Detroit is best in the majors with a .382 team batting average of balls in play while Seattle is down at 24th with a .234 team BABIP. All in all, go with the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner to help lead the Detroit Tigers to victory.
NCAAB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for April 1st, 2025 )
North Texas vs. UC Irvine
Bet: UC Irvine ML/+105 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The NIT semis sees North Texas vs. UC Irvine where the winner will face the winner of the Chattanooga vs. Loyola Chicago in the finals. North Texas ranks third in the nation in opponents’ ppg and has played good D in the three NIT games. However, they are not a big team and are led by their guards. On the other side of the coin, Leuchten is 7’1” and Tillis is a bruising forward and the duo combined for 40 points and 21 rebounds in the last game. Both teams matchup well on defense ranking in the top-40 defenses in the country. The disconnect between the two comes on offense where UC Irvine has a major advantage. The Mean Green put up just 68 ppg compared to the Anteaters who average 75.9 ppg. The Anteaters have already tied a program record with 31 wins (set under Turner in 2019 when they upset Kansas State in the first round of the NCAA Tournament) and set a new record with a win on Tuesday. UC Irvine also has four players averaging more than 12 points per game this season. Also, in their last two tournament games, North Texas has barely come away with wins having won both by just two points. In terms of the North Texas vs. UC Irvine prediction the Mean Green will struggle with the size of the Anteaters and while they will play good D and put up a fight UC Irvine will win and head to the NIT title game.
NBA Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for March 31, 2025 )
Sacramento vs Indiana
Bet: Indiana Pacers -4.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
With 8 games remaining, the play-in tournament hopes of the Sacramento Kings are hanging by a thread — but only because the Phoenix Suns aren’t able to take advantage. Sacramento has lost 7 of 10 games, including 5 in a row on the road and unless they can turn things around they could very well end up outside the 10th spot. Chemistry issues have plagued this team ever since they acquired Zach LaVine; his pairing with DeMar DeRozan has just not worked out similarly to when they were teammates in Chicago. Sacramento has the 29th ranked defense over the past 10 games. With the return of Domantas Sabonis some of their issues will get fixed, but it will take a total team effort to turn things around. The Pacers don’t have issues like that. They rank 11th on defense in the past 10 games, which is a major reason why they have gone 7-3 SU during that stretch. They just lost by double-digits to OKC on the road, most teams do, so there’s really no shame in that. Pascal Siakam and Tyrese Haliburton have put up really solid numbers and this team looks destined to finish fourth in the East unless a major collapse happens. Indiana is 8-1 SU in 9 home games and has covered the spread in 10 of 11 games against Pacific Division opponents. Bennedict Mathurin is their only injury concern right now, but even if he isn’t able to go they have a deep bench which can compensate for his absence. Indiana won the first meeting fairly comfortably 122-95 back in late December. Sacramento has a lot of issues right now, plus we are expecting to see a highly motivated Tyrese Haliburton as he faces his old team. One of the biggest factors in this game will be Indiana's three-point shooting against Sacramento's perimeter defense. The Pacers rank among the league's best in shooting from beyond the arc, while the Kings rank at the bottom in defending the three. Additionally, the showdown between Sabonis and Myles Turner will be key in controlling the paint on both ends of the floor. Given Indiana’s home-court success and Sacramento’s ongoing road issues, the Pacers have a key edge. Give us the Pacers to cover.
NCAAB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for March 30, 2025 )
Michigan State Spartans vs Auburn Tigers
Bet: Auburn Tigers-4.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
We head to the South regional on Sunday for a Michigan State Spartans vs Auburn Tigers prediction, and this should be a fantastic Elite Eight clash on Sunday night. We are going to lay the points with Auburn in this game. They’ve navigated the second-toughest schedule in the country this year, logging a 31-5 SU record in the process. The Tigers have won 27 of those 31 games by 5+ points, while posting an average margin of victory of +14.3 points. Michigan State survived close games all year, and they have done so by being a patient but efficient offensive team, and a team that relies on an elite defense. The major weakness of this Michigan State team, however, is that they do not make enough 3-pointers. That is going to be a problem against an Auburn team who is elite at defending inside the paint. If you can’t make 3s against Auburn to stretch out their defense, it is hard to find buckets. Michigan State’s three-point woes will catch up with against Auburn, as they’re just 318th in the nation at 31.1%. This will be the spot, as Auburn’s defense is the seventh-best defensive three-point team, limiting their opposition to just 29.6%. The Tigers also take care of the ball on the offensive side, ranking seventh in turnover percentage (13.2%). The Spartans might keep things close for a while, but in the end, their inability to make enough 3s, coupled with the interior defense of the Tigers, will be enough to see Auburn winning and getting the cover. Give us the Tigers to punch their ticket.
NCAAB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Play released for March 29, 2025 )
Texas Tech vs. Florida
Alabama vs. Duke
Bet: 2 Leg Parlay on Florida ML -295 and Duke ML -285/odds -125 ( sportsbook: FanDuel ) Winner
Texas Tech demonstrated defensive lapses against Arkansas in their last game as the Razorbacks jumped out to a quick lead and shot 42% from the field and 40% from behind the arc. It truly was fortuitous that the Red Raiders survived to move on to this round. In contrast, Florida has been the complete package throughout this tournament and appears to be playing their best basketball. The edge in this game will go to the Gator’s ability to contest their opponent’s shots as they have allowed just an average of 71.66 points per game in the tournament. They won’t have the same late-game lapses for the Red Raiders to take advantage like Arkansas. Additionally, Florida holds the #2 ranked offensive efficiency according to KenPom which makes them one of the most balanced teams in the field. The fact that Florida is 27-10 ATS on the season makes this decision easier. This is especially true as Florida holds an 8.5 margin over Tech in the Net Rating on KenPom.
Any believer in the Law of Averages has to side with Duke in this game, as there will surely be a regression in the outside shooting from Alabama. The Tide were on fire last game, they made 25 threes while shooting 49% from deep, this performance is historic, and will not be repeated, especially considering the defense they are facing. BYU was ranked 82nd in defensive efficiency, they are not strong at defending the outside shot, but now the Tide are facing a different type of defensive threat. Duke is 5th in the nation in defensive efficiency, they will not allow Bama to run up and down the floor shooting open threes as they did last game. The Blue Devils have length and athleticism all over the floor and will be able to contest deep shots and bring Bama's three point efficiency down. Bama is not stellar on defense either, and do not have a defensive matchup for Flagg, as he is faster than Nelson and bigger than all of their guards. Duke's talent will rise to the top.
NCAAB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Plays ( Plays released for March 28, 2025 )
Kentucky vs. Tennessee
Bet: Kentucky +4.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Loser
This will be the third meeting between these two teams and we expect this will be the best matchup of the season. Kentucky and Tennessee have had very successful seasons but Kentucky has had Tennessee's number this season. Points have been hard to come by for the Volunteers and they have not been able to keep Kentucky off the three-point line. Lamont Butler is back in the lineup for the Wildcats, and they are just a different team with him. Butler vs Zeigler will be a great point guard matchup but this game will be about the role players. Kentucky has great depth and they have done a great job playing as a team and utilizing their weapons. It is very tough to beat a team three times in one season but the Wildcats are the better team in this matchup. Tennessee needs Chaz Lanier and Zakai Zeigler to have big games in order to beat the top teams and they just don't have enough scoring weapons. Take the points and the Wildcats here while not being afraid to sprinkle on the moneyline.
Ole Miss vs. Michigan State
Bet: Ole Miss +4/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
On Friday night in Atlanta, head coach Chris Beard and his Ole Miss Rebels get set to take on head coach Tom Izzo and his Michigan State Spartans in the South Region for what should be a fantastic game and an all around intriguing Sweet 16 slate. Beard has done a remarkable job in his second season at Ole Miss, taking a team that missed the tournament last year to now knocking on the door of an Elite 8 appearance. The Rebels entered the tournament as a #6 seed and were just 1 of the 14 teams from the SEC to earn their way to the Big Dance — including 7 teams that advanced to the Sweet 16. Playing in the most competitive conference certainly paid off for the Rebels come tournament time, holding leads as large as 22 points against North Carolina in the round of 64 and 26 points against Iowa State in the round of 32. The journey to the Sweet 16 wasn’t quite as smooth for Izzo and the Spartys however. Michigan State took care of business with a 25-point win over Bryant in the first round but got tested in the round of 32 and trailed New Mexico for the entire first half before some second-half adjustments led to an 8-point win. The SEC will continue their strong play here with two similarly constructed teams. Both of these programs go deep into their bench and have a balanced scoring approach, but there are differences that will favor the Rebels in this one. First, the best overall scorer and shooter in this game plays for Ole Miss, Sean Pedulla has made 83 threes on the year, which is 29 more threes than any player on the Spartans. He is the top scorer in this game at 15.2 PPG, and is an experienced senior guard who can be trusted late, he buried a game winning three at the buzzer in the SEC Tournament against Arkansas. On top of this, the Rebels are all juniors and seniors at the top of their lineup, while Coach Izzo will have to trust several freshman including Richardson and Fears in this game. Michigan State has been carried by their defense, this strategy worked against the bottom Big Ten schools, but Ole Miss has six scorers in double figures, they are difficult to slow down. The experience of the Rebels along with their ability to force turnovers while taking care of the ball on offense will be enough to win this game. We are taking the points with the veteran team from the stronger conference.
NCAAB Non-Guaranteed No Limit Play ( Plays released for March 27, 2025 )
BYU vs. Alabama
Bet: Alabama -4.5/-115 ( sportsbook: DraftKings ) Winner
The first game of the Sweet 16 takes us to the East Region in New Jersey for a BYU Cougars vs Alabama Crimson Tide prediction. The Crimson Tide are part of the SEC’s steamrolling of the tournament, and they got here with wins over Robert Morris and St. Mary’s. St. Mary’s is a slow, defensive-minded team, but the Tide will have to change gears completely when planning for BYU. The Cougars dispatched VCU in the opening round before outgunning Wisconsin in round 2 via a 91-89 decision. These 2 teams are probably going to blow out the lights on the scoreboard. Our BYU vs Alabama prediction, however, is for the Tide to ultimately win and cover. Alabama plays at the fastest tempo in the country. Head coach Nate Oates’ method of basketball is straightforward: do something fast, and operate in volume. The Tide will shoot 3s or layups and little else. They also pressure the ball defensively and get a lot of transition looks. BYU shares some similarities. The Cougars do not play as fast, but they are one of the most prolific 3-point shooting teams in the nation. You know the modern basketball axiom: 3 points are worth more than 2 points, and both teams like to prove it true. The difference in this game will come down to the ability to defend the 3-point shot. Alabama will play fast and look to knock down open threes in transition. BYU is one of the more prolific 3-point shooting teams in the country and is shooting 40 percent from beyond the arc in the tournament, averaging 9.5 made threes per game. The Tide, however, have done a great job defending the 3-point shot thus far. They are holding the opposition to 23 percent shooting from beyond the arc and just six 3-point field goals per game. The Cougars are giving up 13.5 threes per game in the tournament and allowing them to shoot 37 percent. We`ll take our chances with the more experienced Crimson Tide to dominate the perimeter both offensively and defensively and cover the spread.
Maryland vs. Florida
Bet: Florida -6/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The Gators are explosive offensively, and the test UConn gave them on Sunday should keep them on their toes ahead of their matchup with the Terps. Florida has a top-notch, diverse rotation brimming with Final Four potential. Maryland needed a buzzer-beater to escape 11-seed Colorado State. The Terps aren't deep or reliable enough to keep the score close, especially against the Gators' elite three-point defense (10th in opponent 3PT%). Without those long-range baskets, Maryland will be in big trouble, as buckets at the rim will be tough to come by (UF is 9th in average opponent near-proximity shooting percentage). Give us the Gators to cover and march on to the Elite 8.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas Tech
Bet: Arkansas Razorbacks +5.5/-110 ( sportsbook: Caesars ) Winner
The stage is set in San Francisco for an intense Sweet 16 matchup between the Arkansas Razorbacks and Texas Tech Red Raiders. Arkansas enters this game as a 5.5 point underdog, a familiar spot for it in this tournament. The Razorbacks have embraced the underdog role, ousting both Kansas and St. John’s to get here. Their victory over Kansas was particularly impressive, as they managed a 7-point win despite shooting just 25% from beyond the arc. Against St. John’s they capitalized on the Red Storm’s cold shooting night, needing only 75 points on 43% shooting to advance. Questions remain about how legitimate St. John’s was this season given the Big East’s overall struggles, but Arkansas is proving it belongs. All eyes are on head coach John Calipari, who finds himself an underdog for the third straight NCAA Tournament game — a first in his storied career. Historically, he has thrived in these spots with an 8-3-1 record against the spread as an underdog. Texas Tech, a #3 seed, has taken care of business thus far. The Red Raiders handled UNCW with ease before pulling away from a scrappy Drake team in the second round. Their shooting drastically improved from the first round, hitting 53.8% against Drake en route to a 77-64 victory. While the Red Raiders are a dangerous team, they have struggled in neutral-site games — sitting at 1-6 ATS in such settings. With Calipari’s proven track record as an underdog and Arkansas riding a wave of momentum, the Razorbacks are a strong play in what should hopefully be one of the best games of the tournament thus far.
